What’s most telling to me about the P5 +1 negotiated agreement
with the Iranians was the deliberate omission of those countries from a seat at
the negotiation table who have the most at stake on the outcome of this agreement.
Israel, the Gulf States, Egypt, not one had a seat at the
table with the Iranians, and yet, a nuclear armed Iran poses an immediate and
deadly threat to all these states, and only an indirect threat, and at that, only
via ‘foreign’ business interests to the P5+1 states who sat around the table
with the Iranians.
P5 refers to the 5 permanent members of the UN Security
council; USA, China, Russia, France, and the United Kingdom.The plus 1 is
Germany. So why Germany, and not, say
Italy or Switzerland? Well, Germany is a ‘key’ trading partner with Iran, and
the Iranian nuclear program relies heavily on German engineering and
manufacturing. Think Siemens, Linde, BASF, Lurgi, Mercedes, Volkswagen, and MAN to name a few.
I would suggest that
all P5 nations are poised to reap a major financial windfall with an Iran no
longer under sanctions. So it is in the financial
best interest of the P5+1 for a deal,
any deal, to be negotiated with the Iranians.
And to hell with American hostages, the
Israelis or the Sunni States of the Middle East. By the way, the
German Economic Minister et al
will be shortly landing today in Tehran to discuss, well, business
opportunities.
To coin a cliché, this deal is all about the benjamins and
has very little to do blocking Iran’s path to a nuclear weapon. In order to safeguard the P5+1 vested
financial interests, there is a little remarked upon clause in the deal.
Arutz Sheva:
One particularly interesting detail: Tucked away near the very
end of the deal's massive text is a section entitled "Nuclear Safety,
Safeguards and Security,"
which stipulates that the West will train Iran to thwart sabotage against
its nuclear facilities. According to text, Iran will learn how to secure its controversial and
covert nuclear program from all threats thanks
to training by the "E3/EU+3," another designation for the P5+1 countries consisting of the US, UK,
France, Germany, Russia and China, as well as the EU.
The section seemingly begins benignly enough, with a clause saying that "E3/EU+3 parties, and
possibly other states, as appropriate, are prepared to cooperate with Iran to
establish a Nuclear Safety Centre in Iran, engage in workshops and training
events in Iran." But then things take
a turn, with the same world powers obligating to "co-operation in the form
of training courses and workshops to strengthen Iran's ability to prevent,
protect and respond to nuclear security threats to nuclear facilities and systems as well as to enable effective and sustainable
nuclear security and physical protection systems." Leaving no doubts about the intentions, the text then promises
"co-operation through training and workshops to strengthen Iran’s ability
to protect against, and respond to nuclear security threats, including
sabotage."
The
implications of this clause are huge. Let’s be real, the Saudis and other Gulf
states do not the capacities to attack any part of the Iranian nuclear program
but there is one state who does, and that state has been repeatedly threatened
by the Iranians. Conceivably, there could come a day, when United
States will be actively using its nuclear and military intelligence to undermine
any Israeli attempts to safeguard our people from Iranian threats.
The United States, despite the belief of a hard core group
of anti-Semites, is not a proxy for Israel. America is not Israel, and has never and will
never, act in Israel’s best interest unless Israeli interests dovetails with
American interests.
Americans have been very cynically offering the Sunni statesand Israel the promise of increase military hardware but I would hazard a guess
that any military largess offered is for ‘defensive’ rather than any offensive
capacities, at best, there might be some meager offerings of ‘dual’ use
military hardware – hardware which is primarily defensive but could be modified
for and used in an offensive capacity in a best case scenario.
Iranian financial gains amount to over a billion US dollars,
I suspect this largess will be filling the coffers of Russian, French and
Chinese military manufacturers, with enough to spread around to arm Iranian
proxies in Yemen, Iraq, Syria and Lebanon. If were a betting woman, I would place a bet
that there will be a major Iranian
airplane deal with any of the P5+1 nations to bring Iran’s badly degraded air force
up to first world standards sometime in the next year. Woe is Yisrael, if America wins that contract.
It's rule #3. Never underestimate the other guy's greed.