Life is Belief & Struggle - Ahmed Shawqi
Showing posts with label damned demographics and Statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label damned demographics and Statistics. Show all posts

Friday, August 28, 2015

Extra, Extra, Jews live...in Israel!!!



 I want to like the Times of Israel, but as an online daily I just don’t. The first line on this article on American-Israeli Jews encapsulates the ‘why’ I don’t. 

“Fifteen percent of West Bank settlers are American citizens”.  

No, and not quite. Once,  I get over the fact that the Times of Israel has picked the side of the Arabs for referring to the disputed territories by its’ Arab name, I am still left  trying to reconcile the differences and interplay between bias, nuance and facts.I would have accepted the first sentence if it read, ‘ Fifteen percent of West Bank Israeli settlers were originally American Jews’ or ‘American Jews make up to 15% of Israeli settlers in the West Bank’. I would even accept ‘Fifteen percent of Israeli Jewish settlers in the West Bank originate from America’.

But even forgetting the awkwardness of the first sentence;  just what is so newsworthy about a minority population of Israelis living beyond the so-called Green Line? The only real thing one can learn from this article is that the overwhelming majority of Israelis living in the disputed territories are not American olim (immigrants).  

This all came about because an ‘Oxford’ professor discovered that of the 170,000 Israeli Jews of American origin living in Israel, and of those; 60,000 chose to live over the so-called Green Line out of an American olim total population of 170,000. If that isn’t bad enough the article suggests the community of Israelis from America are disproportionately represented as living in the disputed territories.  

“This provides hard evidence that this constituency is strikingly over-represented, both within the settler population itself and within the total population of Jewish American immigrants in Israel,” Sara Yael Hirschhorn, the author of the forthcoming book “City on a Hilltop: Jewish-American Settlers in the Occupied Territories Since 1967,” said during a presentation at Jerusalem’s Limmud conference, Haaretz reported.

I am left wondering if ‘oxford professor’ is now a synonym for dumber than shit or it is the poor reporting skills of TOFI that should be blamed for accurately communicate the Hirschhorn’s thesis?

Apparently, there is an Israeli population of over 750,000 living across the so-called Green line, of which 60,000 are Jews of American origin, so my question is; how many of those Israelis of American origin live outside the city of Jerusalem?  I suspect the vast majority of those 60,000 American olim live in Jerusalem, the united eternal capital of the Jewish people, but we don’t know because of the vapid shallowness of this so-called ‘news’.

One of the sources the Times of Israel draws from is an article found in Ha’aretz.  I have no idea what the Ha’aretz report actually says, as it is behind the paywall, and I, like the vast majority of Israelis won’t pay to read Ha’aretz – not for love or money.

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Changing the dial on get the most out of the demographic mile

US President Obama in his infamous ‘reset’ on the Middle East speech from last week alluded to the idea that time is not on the Israeli side …Skippy Stalin took up the mantle where Obama left off in this post and used a very old school demographics argument to suggest the Palestinian fertility is something for the Israelis to fear. All of which is my long winded way of pointing out this article from the Asia Times Online on the power poised by the Israeli demographic. Here’s a snippet.

At constant fertility, Israel will have more young people by the end of this century than either Turkey or Iran, and more than German, Italy or Spain. With a total fertility rate of three children per woman, Israel's total population will rise to 24 million by the end of the present century. Iran's fertility is around 1.7 and falling, while the fertility for ethnic Turks is only 1.5 (the Kurdish minority has a fertility rate of around 4.5).

Not that the size of land armies matters much in an era of high-tech warfare, but if present trends continue, Israel will be able to field the largest land army in the Middle East. That startling data point, though, should alert analysts to a more relevant problem: among the military powers in the Middle East, Israel will be the only one with a viable population structure by the middle of this century.

That is why it is in America's interest to keep Israel as an ally. Israel is not only the strongest power in the region; in a generation or two it will be the only power in the region, the last man standing among ruined neighbors. The demographic time bomb in the region is not the Palestinian Arabs on the West Bank, as the Israeli peace party wrongly believed, but rather Israel itself.

Read the entire article, and then speculate on the possibility of a thing called – (dare I say it publicly?) ‘Israeli hegemony’.


x/p: The Last Exile